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Creating our future through scenarios

Organizations are finding that taking a sustainability approach is necessary for their continued success. Scenarios go beyond trends and explore more complex possibilities for how the future may unfold. They reflect different mind-sets or world views as well as different trajectories into the future. Global scenarios help to identify major issues in a way that creates a platform for countries, industries and companies to rethink their policies and strategies towards sustainable development.

Vision of a sustainable society"
http://www.icc.ac.jp/shion/english/tonyb/papers/pt4x.htm

Choosing a future
http://www.shell.com/swmay/inside.html

TNS science and methodology (see ‘backcasting’)
http://www.naturalstep.org/what/index_what.html

Which world: scenarios for the 21st century
http://www.islandpress.org
http://www.igc.apc.org/millennium/t21/index.html

An integrated assessment tool for national sustainable development decisions

How to build scenarios: striking a balance between prediction and paralysis
http://www.wired.com/wired/scenarios/build.html

Futures for humanity: possible alternatives for humanity to follow
http://www.hubbertpeak.com/

Looking ahead-- a menu of possibilities
http://www.awakeningearth.org/ccreport_screen.html (see chapter 13)

Business & investing: industry leaders discuss change to shape markets for development
http://www.earthtimes.org/jun/business_investinginductryjun9_98.htm

 

 

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Last modified: Jan. 22, 2006